November 11, 2025
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Affmiss On-Chain Daily

Affmiss On-Chain Daily — Bitcoin Market Insights (November 11, 2025)

Updated: 11 Nov 2025 • Source: Glassnode, Deribit • Analyst: Affmiss Research

Affmiss On-Chain Daily is your trusted daily source for Bitcoin’s network signals. Today’s report highlights a shift toward whale distribution, Stablecoin Supply Ratio at cycle lows, and rising long-term holder spending while mid-sized entities continue to accumulate.

Affmiss On-Chain Daily Market Overview

Bitcoin trades near $106,000, below the October local high above $120k. Price action sits in a consolidation band while liquidity pockets cluster at $111.5k on the short side and $74.5k–$91.5k on the long side. The balance of evidence from today’s Affmiss On-Chain Daily suggests a mid-cycle cool-down rather than a macro top.

Trend Accumulation Score by Cohort — Affmiss On-Chain Daily
BTC Accumulation Trend Score — darker colors = distribution (Affmiss On-Chain Daily).

Accumulation Trend — Whales Ease Off (Affmiss On-Chain Daily Insight)

The Accumulation Trend Score has faded from August–September highs toward a neutral-to-weak band (~0.2–0.3). Wallets of 10–100 BTC and above show reduced net adds, while 1–10 BTC cohorts continue light DCA. This classic hand-off from whales to smaller entities often accompanies mid-cycle consolidations captured by Affmiss On-Chain Daily.

Trend Accumulation Score by Cohort — Affmiss On-Chain Daily
Cohort heatmap by BTC size bands (Affmiss On-Chain Daily).

Liquidation Zones Reveal Volatility Triggers — Affmiss On-Chain Daily

Largest short liquidations sit at $111,500 (≈1,263 BTC) and $143,500; largest long liquidations concentrate between $74,500–$91,500. Affmiss On-Chain Daily interprets this symmetry as range compression risk before a directional move: a push above $111k could squeeze higher toward $120k, while a break below $95k exposes deeper long liquidations.

Largest Liquidations Map — Affmiss On-Chain Daily
Liquidation clusters around $111.5k (shorts) and $74.5k–$91.5k (longs).

Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) Drops — Affmiss On-Chain Daily Indicator

The SSR Oscillator prints its lowest reading since early 2024, implying weaker stablecoin buying power relative to BTC. Exchange balances show an aggregate ~$68.7B in stables (USDT ≈ $58.6B; USDC ≈ $9.9B). In today’s Affmiss On-Chain Daily, this translates to limited immediate upside unless fresh stablecoin inflows appear.

BTC SSR Oscillator — Affmiss On-Chain Daily
SSR at cycle lows — historically consistent with weaker spot demand.

Options OI (Deribit) and Market Positioning — Affmiss On-Chain Daily Report

For the 11 Nov expiry, Open Interest shows a heavy put wall at $100k (~722 BTC) and stacked calls at $106k–$111k. The Affmiss On-Chain Daily base case is pin risk around $100k–105k; a break above $111k can accelerate toward $120k via option-driven flows.

Screenshot 2025 11 11 at 08.51.51
Put concentration near $100k; calls layered above spot.

Short-Term Holders Show Weak Confidence (Affmiss On-Chain Daily)

The Short-Term Holder Confidence Index slips below neutral as the STH spending cost basis rises above price, leaving newer entrants in unrealized loss. According to Affmiss On-Chain Daily, STHs are net distributors into weakness, aligning with the drop in accumulation scores.

STH Confidence Index — Affmiss On-Chain Daily
Histogram turns yellow/red as confidence fades.

Long-Term Holders Start Selling — Affmiss On-Chain Daily Analysis

LTH Binary Spending Indicator spikes and LTH supply declines from ~14.7M BTC to ~14.4M BTC. Affmiss On-Chain Daily reads this as controlled profit-taking typical of mid-cycle resets rather than capitulation.

LTH Spending Indicator — Affmiss On-Chain Daily
Old coins flow to market as price consolidates.

Mid-Level Entities Accumulate — Affmiss On-Chain Daily Cohort Update

Fish→Shark cohorts (10–1k BTC) keep adding and now hold ~6.9M BTC. This divergence versus whales often supports the mid-cycle consolidation narrative that Affmiss On-Chain Daily has tracked since late Q3.

Fish-to-Shark Net Position Change — Affmiss On-Chain Daily
Mid-sized holders buy dips while larger entities distribute.

Key Levels & Outlook — Affmiss On-Chain Daily Summary

Level Type Why it matters
$111,500 Short squeeze trigger Largest short liq cluster; break → momentum to $120k
$105,000–$100,000 Options pin Dealer gamma likely keeps price contained into settlement
$95,000 Risk line Below here opens downside into $91.5k / $74.5k long liq zones

Accumulation Weak
SSR Low
LTH Selling
Mid Cohorts Buying

Affmiss On-Chain Daily View: Mid-cycle correction intact. Holding above $100k preserves the bullish structure; a move above $111k likely fuels an upside squeeze, while a loss of $95k risks a deeper drawdown.

Internal Resources

That wraps up today’s Affmiss On-Chain Daily. Bookmark this feed for tomorrow’s update.

Disclaimer: Educational content only. Not financial advice. Crypto trading involves substantial risk.